|
In the first study to examine the impact of Federal Home Loan Bank membership
and funding on commercial bank risk, a University of Arkansas researcher and
colleagues at two Federal Reserve banks found evidence to suggest that member
banks have somewhat higher risk profiles than non-member banks.
"Although our findings suggest that the cumulative impact of FHLB membership
and advances on bank risk is modest, we caution that our sample period was one
of robust economic growth, and that serious moral-hazard problems could arise if
bank leverage ratios revert to historical norms," said
Tim Yeager,
associate professor of finance in the Sam M. Walton College of Business. "The
increasing reliance on these advances is a potential safety and soundness
concern because access to them can undermine market discipline, and the FDIC
(Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.) cannot raise premiums sufficiently to deter
risk-taking."
Yeager and his colleagues, Dusan Stojanovic at the Federal Reserve Bank of
Chicago and Mark Vaughan at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Va., wanted to
know if FHLB membership and advances could lead to greater risk-taking by banks.
Congress established the FHLB system in 1932 to advance funds against mortgage
collateral. As such, the system pre-dates Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as the
first government-sponsored enterprise for housing. FHLB banks have provided a
source of long-term stable funding for home mortgages.
Initially, membership was limited to thrifts, which are financial
institutions that focus on taking deposits and originating home mortgages. But
recent passage of federal laws, including the Financial Institutions Reform,
Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989 and the Federal Home Loan Bank
Modernization Act of 1999 have opened the system to commercial banks and credit
unions. Since the early 1990s, commercial banks have turned to FHLB advances to
plug the gap between loans and deposits. The controversial issue, as Yeager
mentioned, is that this practice could lead to safety and soundness problems by
relaxing constraints on risk-taking in the same way that brokered deposits
helped savings and loan institutions ramp up risk in the 1980s.
The researchers found that liquidity risk and leverage risk rose modestly for
FHLB members compared to non-members. Liquidity risk represents threats to a
financial institution's ability to convert assets into cash or quickly cover
current financial liabilities with current assets. Leverage risk rises as the
firms take on more debt for a given amount of equity because large financial
losses could leave the bank insolvent.
The study revealed that interest rate risk - a drop in bank earnings or
equity due to the variability of interest rates - declined somewhat for banks
that accepted advances as a benefit of FHLB membership. Credit risk - the risk
of loss due to a debtor's non-payment of a loan or other line of credit - and
overall bank failure were largely unaffected by FHLB membership.
"Although the evidence fails to produce a `smoking gun,' the worrisome
incentives embedded in the FHLB advances should give policymakers pause," Yeager
said. "We argue that bank supervisors should remain vigilant, and only careful
monitoring by state and federal supervisors can prevent distressed banks from
responding to the moral-hazard incentives associated with FHLB funding and
underpriced deposit insurance."
The researchers suggest that legislators and banking regulators consider
imposing usage restrictions on advances similar to those used on brokered
deposits, which would curtail access to advances as bank risk increases and
capital ratios decline. Secondly, the FDIC and other regulators may attempt to
remedy the situation by imposing a capital charge on banks with large amounts of
collateralized obligations. The FDIC recently announced that it will take FHLB
advances into account when setting deposit insurance premiums in 2009.
Overall, Yeager said, the researchers' findings on FHLB activity and risk
should help bank managers and supervisors distinguish between prudent and
imprudent use of advances.
The study was published in Journal of Banking and Finance.
Prior to his appointment in the Walton College, Yeager was an economist at
the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
|